Cabo Expecting An All-time Record Breaking High Season For Tourism

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We’re calling it now: Los Cabos is gearing up for an all-time, record-breaking high season—and if you’re thinking about a winter escape, now’s the time to move.

As we at The Cabo Sun have been tracking all year, momentum has been building across flights, hotel occupancy, and traveler demand, and the latest forecast points to a surge unlike anything we’ve seen before.

What’s behind the bold call?

Fresh projections from the Los Cabos Tourism Trust (FITURCA) show a 12% increase in available airline seats from the U.S. between October and March, a crystal-clear signal that demand is peaking for the 2025–2026 high season. In other words: more planes, fuller resorts, busier beaches.

Why this winter is different

Even before winter begins, the destination has been hitting milestone after milestone. Summer 2025 delivered historic hotel occupancy while keeping room rates strong—proof that Cabo isn’t just popular in peak weeks; it’s become a year-round favorite.

That summer strength usually “feeds” winter, with airlines adding capacity and resorts fleshing out event calendars and seasonal experiences. Put those pieces together and you get the kind of perfect storm travelers actually want.

On the aviation front, connectivity has never looked better. Los Cabos International Airport is handling heavy weekly flight volumes and continues to benefit from infrastructure upgrades, setting the stage for even more frequency and city pairs into peak season.

Translation: better odds of nonstop options, but also hotter competition for the most desirable dates and times.

What travelers should do now

Book flights and rooms early—treat it like a big concert. If Cabo is on your winter wish list, lock in dates soon and build your itinerary in the same pass. Our recent planning guide lays out why high-season weeks sell out fast and how to save by being strategic with timing, routes, and mid-week arrivals.

Choose your beach wisely. Conditions change quickly in winter, and safety officials enforce closures when currents spike—especially around Land’s End. One of Cabo’s most famous areas recently went off-limits under a black flag; it’s a good reminder to admire the Arch by boat and swim at protected coves instead. If you’re unsure whether your resort’s beach is swimmable, use our 3-step verification before you book.

Think Blue Flag. With a record number of Blue Flag beaches, you can prioritize clean water, lifeguards, and strong environmental management while still getting those “Cabo in winter” vibes. We’ve mapped out where to find them and how to use the flag system like a local.

The reality of a record season

A record brings buzz—and a few practical trade-offs. Expect busier marina mornings, fuller restaurant books, and popular tours (whale watching, anyone?) to cap out earlier. That said, Cabo has been steadily expanding capacity without losing its quality-over-quantity ethos. FITURCA’s leadership has been clear that sustainable growth—protecting natural resources while elevating the experience—remains the north star. For travelers, that means better managed beaches, smarter operations, and a strong safety presence even when crowds swell.

Weather awareness pays off. Peak season still overlaps with late-season tropical systems, and we just watched how fast conditions can shift with Priscilla. The takeaway isn’t to cancel—it’s to keep plans flexible, check daily updates, and let your concierge confirm day-of statuses for boating and beach clubs. When disruptions pass, services resume quickly (street food fans, rejoice).

Insider tips from our team

• Dinner strategy: Anchor one “big night out” on a less obvious evening (think Monday or Tuesday) and book two weeks in advance; hot tables disappear fast in peak months. For context on just how busy things are getting, our year-to-date visitor and crowd reports are a must-read.
• Tour timing: Whale-watching slots and arch cruises are best early morning when seas tend to be calmer; carry a light layer for wind chill. If the Arch beach appears (a rare phenomenon), remember: admire from a distance—no landing.
• Beach safety: Treat the colored flags as your real-time surf report and follow lifeguard instructions to the letter. Black means closed—no exceptions.

Bottom line: All signs point to Cabo’s biggest high season yet, powered by a double shot of airline capacity and year-round momentum. Book smart, choose safe beaches, build in a little flexibility—and you’ll see why winter here keeps rewriting the record books.