Record-Breaking Demand Hints More Flights From Canada To Los Cabos Could Be On The Way For 2026

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We at The Cabo Sun have been watching a quiet Canadian takeover in Los Cabos—and now the numbers are official. Canadian visits are expected to jump from around 200,000 in 2024 to roughly 240,000 in 2025, a huge 20% spike that nearly doubles last year’s growth pace.

That kind of surge doesn’t just mean busier pools and more maple leaf luggage tags at baggage claim. It also sends a loud, clear message to airlines: Canada needs more seats to Cabo, especially looking ahead to winter 2025–2026 and into 2026.

Canadians Are Staying Longer And Spending More

According to the Los Cabos Tourism Board, the majority of this year’s growth is coming from the east—Ontario and Quebec—while western Canada (especially Vancouver and Calgary) is already a well-established Cabo pipeline.

A few key stats jump out:

• Visits from Canada are tracking 20% higher year-over-year.
• Vancouver alone accounts for nearly 41% of Canadians flying into Los Cabos, with Calgary at 26.5% and Toronto at 16%.
• Canadians stay an average of 10.2 nights in Los Cabos—almost twice as long as U.S. visitors at 5.7 nights.

Longer stays and higher overall spend make Canadians an especially valuable market. We recently dug into why the country has become Cabo’s fastest-growing international segment in our breakdown Why More Canadians Are Flocking To Los Cabos Than Ever Before.

In short: Canadians aren’t just chasing sun. They’re booking longer winter escapes, splitting time between Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo, and adding side trips to places like Todos Santos and the East Cape—exactly the kind of itinerary the destination has been building toward for years.

WestJet, Air Canada, And Sunwing Lead The Charge

On the airline side, the Canadian wave is already reshaping the schedule:

• Montreal & Toronto: WestJet will soon join Air Canada with flights from both cities to Los Cabos, with active talks to extend those routes year-round instead of just seasonal winter service.
• Western Canada: WestJet and Sunwing already fly year-round from Alberta and British Columbia, with WestJet alone operating more than 21 weekly flights in winter.
• Winter 2025–2026: Sunwing and WestJet together expect to bring around 140,000 Canadian travelers to Los Cabos over the winter season.

If you’re curious which Canadian cities already enjoy nonstop options, our earlier guide Canadian Cities Flying Nonstop To Los Cabos This Winter is a handy refresher—and it’s quickly becoming out of date in the best possible way.

There’s also another player in the wings: Porter Airlines. Tourism officials say the destination is in active talks with Porter about potential service, likely from (you guessed it) Montreal and Toronto—two markets now firmly at the top of Cabo’s Canadian wish list.

Why 2026 Could Bring Even More Canadian Nonstops

This Canadian boom isn’t happening in a vacuum. Across the board, Los Cabos is in the middle of an airlift growth spurt:

• The airport now handles 600+ weekly flights, including a rapidly expanding international network.
• In 2025 alone, the destination confirmed nine new international routes for 2025 and several more looking ahead to 2026, as we covered in 9 New Nonstop Flights To Los Cabos Confirmed In 2025 and 6 New Flight Routes Announced For Los Cabos As Popularity Soars.
• Fresh for 2026, there are already three new nonstop flights locked in from Austin, Indianapolis, and Las Vegas, which we just broke down in 3 New Nonstop Los Cabos Flights Confirmed For 2026.

Tourism officials have been clear that more U.S. nonstops are coming next, highlighted in Los Cabos Will Add More U.S. Nonstop Flights In 2026 — These Cities Are Most Likely. With Canada now setting its own records, it’s only logical that additional Canadian lift—especially from the east—will be part of that same story.

The other big factor: capacity on the ground. Los Cabos is investing roughly US $900 million in new tourism infrastructure, with more than 1,200 new luxury rooms coming online over the next three to four years. Recent and upcoming openings include Park Hyatt Los Cabos, Four Seasons Resort Cabo San Lucas at Cabo del Sol, St. Regis Los Cabos at Quivira, Amanvari, Grand Hyatt, Raffles and more.

We’ve been tracking this luxury wave closely in pieces like Los Cabos Getting 9 New High-End Resorts By 2030 As Destination Explodes In Popularity and our deep dives on Amanvari and Four Seasons. More rooms + longer Canadian stays = a very strong case for more direct flights.

What Canadian Travelers Should Do Now

So what does all of this mean if you’re planning a Cabo escape from Canada? A few takeaways:

• Book peak winter dates early. Nonstops from Vancouver, Calgary, Toronto, and Montreal are incredibly popular from December through March. Aim to lock in flights 3–6 months ahead, especially for holiday travel.
• Watch for new announcements out of eastern Canada. With active talks involving Porter and growing interest from WestJet and Air Canada in year-round service, Toronto and Montreal are the most likely winners for added 2026 capacity.
• Match your flight to your vacation style. Western Canadians may prefer quick, year-round WestJet and Sunwing links; Eastern travelers might nab a nonstop then split their stay between a corridor luxury resort and a boutique spot in San José del Cabo or the East Cape.
• Keep an eye on fares as competition ramps up. More carriers and more frequencies often mean better deals—especially if you’re flexible by a day or two in shoulder season.

The Bottom Line

Canada has officially become one of Los Cabos’ star markets: visitors are coming in record numbers, staying longer, and filling out that winter calendar from coast to coast.

With the airport already in growth mode and a wave of new resorts opening their doors, record-breaking Canadian demand is exactly the kind of signal airlines like to see.

If you’re dreaming of trading snow for sunsets in 2026, this is your sign to start watching the schedules now—because the next big nonstop from Canada to Los Cabos might be announced sooner than you think.