Los Cabos Could See Rain This Weekend As Tropical Depression Approaches

Share The Article

Cabo San Lucas, Baja California Sur – Heads up, Los Cabos! The first tropical depression of the 2025 Eastern Pacific hurricane season has formed, and it could bring some much-needed rain to the region this weekend. While the system isn’t expected to directly hit Los Cabos as a major storm, its presence will likely be felt.

The weather system, currently known as Tropical Depression One-E, officially took shape on Wednesday afternoon. Forecasters at AccuWeather and the National Hurricane Center are keeping a close eye on it. They predict it will strengthen into a tropical storm, at which point it will be named Alvin.

As of early Thursday morning, May 29th, the depression was churning several hundred miles off the southwestern coast of mainland Mexico, moving in a general north-northwest direction. This path is expected to bring it closer to the Baja California Peninsula over the coming days.

The good news for Los Cabos is that current forecasts suggest “Alvin” will likely begin to weaken as it encounters cooler waters near the peninsula. AccuWeather meteorologists indicate the system should lose strength and potentially become a tropical rainstorm, or even dissipate, before making any landfall in northwestern Mexico.

However, even a weakening system can bring noticeable weather changes. For Los Cabos, this primarily means an increased chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially as the weekend approaches. While widespread heavy rain isn’t the main concern for the immediate Los Cabos area based on current projections, some moisture from the storm is expected to spread over the region.

Residents and visitors should be prepared for the possibility of scattered rain showers from Friday into the weekend. These rains could be a welcome sight for an area that often experiences dry conditions, but they can also lead to localized issues. Be aware of potentially slick roads and the possibility of arroyos (dry riverbeds) carrying water if heavier downpours occur in the mountains.

Besides the rain, the system is also likely to generate increased swells in the Pacific. This could mean rougher surf conditions along the beaches. Swimmers and boaters should exercise extra caution and pay attention to any advisories from local port authorities or civil protection. Rip currents could also be stronger and more frequent.

The Eastern Pacific hurricane season officially began on May 15th and runs through November 30th. This first system of the year serves as a timely reminder to always be prepared. While “Alvin” isn’t currently forecast to be a major threat to Los Cabos in terms of strong winds or widespread damaging floods, it highlights how quickly tropical systems can develop.

Authorities generally advise having a basic emergency kit, staying informed through official channels, and having a plan in case of more severe weather.

For now, Los Cabos can anticipate some cloudier skies and a welcome chance of rain this weekend. Keep an eye on updated forecasts as the storm progresses, but enjoy the potential break from the sun, and remember to stay safe if you’re near the water. We’ll keep you updated here at The Cabo Sun as we learn more.